11434 is a Democratic stronghold. About 89% of voters here vote Democratic and 11% Republican.
About 49% of adults in 11434 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11434, ~44% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11434 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11434 leans more Democratic than 218 of 230 neighbors.
11434 runs about 66 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 11434 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11434, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 11434 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in 11434 have never been married, above 94% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 11434, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 11434 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 48% of households in 11434 rent, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in 11434 report food insecurity, above 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.