11942 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 11942 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11942, ~37% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11942 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11942 leans more Republican than 14 of 24 neighbors.
11942 runs about 20 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11942 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 11942 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11942, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11942 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11942 runs about 20 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 11942, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 11942 looks the way it does
Turnout in 11942 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.