11970 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 89% of adults in 11970 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11970, ~44% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11970 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11970 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 10 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 17 leaning the other way.
11970 runs about 13 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11970 sits closer to the political middle.
Why 11970 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11970, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11970 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11970 runs about 13 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 11970, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 11970 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 11970 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in 11970 own their home, compared to around 84% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 11970 have completed high school, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.