11959 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in 11959 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11959, ~54% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~-14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11959 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11959 leans more Republican than 10 of 26 neighbors.
11959 runs about 18 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11959 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 11959 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11959, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 87% of households in 11959 are family households, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but 11959 runs against that pattern. 11959 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 11959, NY does.
Why turnout in 11959 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 99% of adults in 11959 have completed high school, about 8 points above the New York average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.