11940 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 11940 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11940, ~29% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11940 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11940 leans more Republican than 28 of 33 neighbors.
11940 runs about 36 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11940 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11940. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+29) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 10 points.
Why 11940 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11940, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11940 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 67%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 11940 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 11940, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 11940 looks the way it does
Turnout in 11940 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.