12477 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 12477 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12477, ~41% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12477 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12477 leans more Democratic than 16 of 36 neighbors.
12477 runs about 7 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12477. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 29 points.
Why 12477 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 12477. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 12477, NY sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12477 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12477 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.