12504 is a Democratic stronghold. About 86% of voters here vote Democratic and 14% Republican.
About 41% of adults in 12504 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12504, ~35% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12504 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12504 leans more Democratic than 30 of 31 neighbors.
12504 runs about 59 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12504. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+75) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+60), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 12504 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12504, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 90% of adults in 12504 hold a bachelor's degree, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 77% of adults in 12504 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 12504, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12504 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 61% of households in 12504 rent, about 36 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 12504 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.