12480 leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 12480 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12480, ~53% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12480 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12480 leans more Democratic than 23 of 31 neighbors.
12480 runs about 17 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12480. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+8), a spread of about 29 points.
Why 12480 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12480, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 48% of adults in 12480 hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 12480, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12480 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12480 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 59% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.