12493 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 12493 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12493, ~37% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12493 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12493 leans more Democratic than 27 of 37 neighbors.
12493 runs about 10 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 12493 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12493, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 49% of adults in 12493 hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in 12493 have never been married, above 88% of zip codes.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a never-married-heavy adult population tend to turn out at a lower rate; 12493, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12493 looks the way it does
Turnout in 12493 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.