12578 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 84% of adults in 12578 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12578, ~38% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12578 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12578 leans more Republican than 28 of 32 neighbors.
12578 runs about 22 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12578 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12578. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 12578 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12578, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12578 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12578 runs about 22 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12578, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 12578 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12578 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 12578 own their home, above 82% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 12578 have completed high school, above 88% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.