12514 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 12514 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12514, ~39% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12514 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12514 leans more Democratic than 14 of 32 neighbors.
12514 runs about 7 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12514. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the east side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 12514 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12514, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 45% of adults in 12514 hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12514, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 12514 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12514 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.