12768 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 51% of adults in 12768 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12768, ~20% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12768 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12768 leans more Republican than 23 of 29 neighbors.
12768 runs about 34 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12768 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12768. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+29), a spread of about 33 points.
Why 12768 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12768, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12768 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12768 runs about 34 points more Republican.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a never-married-heavy adult population tend to turn out at a lower rate; 12768, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12768 looks the way it does
Turnout in 12768 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.