12734 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 12734 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12734, ~28% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12734 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12734 is the most Republican-leaning.
12734 runs about 41 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12734 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12734. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 20 points.
Why 12734 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12734, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12734 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12734 runs about 41 points more Republican.
Local retail density and voter turnout
Places with dense local retail within a mile tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12734, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Nearby retail does not change how people vote; it reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 12734 looks the way it does
Turnout in 12734 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.