12989 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 63% of adults in 12989 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12989, ~34% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12989 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12989 is the least Democratic-leaning.
Politically, 12989 sits close to the rest of New York.
Why 12989 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 12989. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 12989, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 12989 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12989 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 12989 own their home, above 86% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 12989 have completed high school, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.