12977 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 12977 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12977, ~30% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12977 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12977 leans more Democratic than 4 of 10 neighbors.
Politically, 12977 sits close to the rest of New York.
Why 12977 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12977, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 49% of adults in 12977 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 39%).
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 12977, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 12977 looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 61% of adults in 12977 have completed high school, about 29 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.