13431 leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 85% of adults in 13431 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 13431, ~26% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 13431 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 13431 leans more Republican than 15 of 20 neighbors.
13431 runs about 51 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13431 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 13431. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 13431 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 13431, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
13431 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13431 runs about 51 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 84% of residents in 13431 drive to work alone, above 85% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 13431, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 13431 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 13431 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 64% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 13431 have completed high school, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.