13813 leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 13813 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 13813, ~20% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 13813 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 13813 leans more Republican than 8 of 11 neighbors.
13813 runs about 55 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13813 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 13813. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 13813 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 13813, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 13813, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the New York average of 34%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 84% of residents in 13813 drive to work alone, above 84% of zip codes. 13813 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 13813, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 13813 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in 13813 own their home, about 14 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.