14454 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 57% of adults in 14454 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14454, ~32% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14454 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14454 is the most Democratic-leaning.
Politically, 14454 sits close to the rest of New York.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14454. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 40 points.
Why 14454 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14454, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in 14454 hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 58% of adults in 14454 have never been married, above 98% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 14454, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 14454 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 46% of households in 14454 rent, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.