95386 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 49% of adults in 95386 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95386, ~18% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95386 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95386 leans more Republican than 11 of 17 neighbors.
95386 runs about 49 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 95386 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95386. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+58) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 38 points.
Why 95386 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95386, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
95386 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 95386 runs about 49 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but 95386 runs against that pattern. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 95386 sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 94% of zip codes).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 95386, CA sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 95386 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 95386 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in 95386 rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in 95386 report food insecurity, above 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.