14414 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 80% of adults in 14414 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14414, ~36% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14414 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14414 leans more Republican than 9 of 28 neighbors.
14414 runs about 23 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14414 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 14414 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14414, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 84% of residents in 14414 drive to work alone, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 74%. 14414 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 14414, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 14414 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 14414 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.