20151 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 73% of adults in 20151 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 20151, ~45% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 20151 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 20151 leans more Democratic than 12 of 48 neighbors.
20151 runs about 15 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 20151. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+28) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 20151 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 20151, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 59% of adults in 20151 hold a bachelor's degree, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 20151 sits in the top fifth on density (about 85%, above 85% of zip codes).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 20151, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 20151 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 20151 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.