22124 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 96% of adults in 22124 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22124, ~65% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~4% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22124 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22124 leans more Democratic than 30 of 81 neighbors.
22124 runs about 30 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22124. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+44) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+28), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 22124 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22124, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 81% of adults in 22124 hold a bachelor's degree, about 53 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 22124 sits in the top fifth on density (about 78%, above 82% of zip codes).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 22124, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 22124 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 22124 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 79%, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 22124 own their home, compared to around 65% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 22124 have completed high school, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.