49644 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 84% of adults in 49644 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49644, ~27% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49644 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49644 leans more Republican than 3 of 5 neighbors.
49644 runs about 34 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why 49644 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 49644, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in 49644 live in densely developed areas, about 26 points below the Michigan average of 31%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 49644, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 49644 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 49644 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in 49644 own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.