22734 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 22734 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22734, ~28% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22734 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22734 leans more Republican than 5 of 19 neighbors.
22734 runs about 30 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22734 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22734. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 33 points.
Why 22734 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22734, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in 22734 drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. 22734 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 22734, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 22734 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 22734 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.