22801 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 65% of adults in 22801 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22801, ~35% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22801 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22801 leans more Democratic than 19 of 20 neighbors.
Politically, 22801 sits close to the rest of Virginia.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22801. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+39) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 58 points.
Why 22801 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22801, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in 22801 hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 22801 sits in the top fifth on density (about 77%, above 82% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in 22801 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 22801, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 22801 looks the way it does
Turnout in 22801 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.