22807 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 38% of adults in 22807 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22807, ~25% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22807 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22807 is the most Democratic-leaning.
22807 runs about 25 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why 22807 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22807, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 76% of adults in 22807 hold a bachelor's degree, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 22807 sits in the top fifth on density (about 95%, above 91% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 97% of adults in 22807 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 22807, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 22807 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 38% of households in 22807 rent, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in 22807 report food insecurity, above 86% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.