23551 leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 31% of adults in 23551 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23551, ~18% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~69% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23551 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23551 leans more Democratic than 18 of 48 neighbors.
23551 runs about 13 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why 23551 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23551, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 98% of residents in 23551 live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 57% of adults in 23551 have never been married, above 97% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 23551, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 23551 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 23551 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 95% of households in 23551 rent, compared to around 57% in nearby zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 23551 have completed high school, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.