24430 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 46% of adults in 24430 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24430, ~15% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24430 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24430 is the least Republican-leaning.
24430 runs about 41 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24430 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 24430. The south side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+64), a spread of about 65 points.
Why 24430 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24430, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 7% of adults in 24430 hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 92% of residents in 24430 drive to work alone, above 97% of zip codes. 24430 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 24430, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 24430 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 24430 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in 24430 have completed high school, below 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.