24502 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 24502 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24502, ~30% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24502 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24502 leans more Republican than 3 of 12 neighbors.
24502 runs about 21 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24502 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 24502. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+2) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+31), a spread of about 33 points.
Why 24502 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24502, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
24502 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 78%, far above the Virginia average of 26%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 24502 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 24502, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 24502 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 24502 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.