32054 is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 32054 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32054, ~13% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32054 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32054 leans more Republican than 4 of 6 neighbors.
32054 runs about 49 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32054. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+79) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+51), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 32054 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32054, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 84% of residents in 32054 drive to work alone, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 32054 sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 91% of zip codes).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 32054, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 32054 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32054 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 9 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.