32658 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 32658 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32658, ~35% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32658 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32658 leans more Republican than 11 of 17 neighbors.
Politically, 32658 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32658. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 31 points.
Why 32658 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32658, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 91% of households in 32658 are family households, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 32658, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32658 looks the way it does
Turnout in 32658 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.