32423 leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 71% of adults in 32423 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32423, ~20% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32423 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32423 leans more Republican than 6 of 7 neighbors.
32423 runs about 31 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32423. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 35 points.
Why 32423 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32423, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 95% of residents in 32423 drive to work alone, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 32423 sits in the bottom quarter (about 16%, below 79% of zip codes).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 32423, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32423 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in 32423 own their home, about 19 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 32423 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.