32430 is a Republican stronghold. About 10% of voters here vote Democratic and 90% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 32430 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32430, ~8% vote Democratic, ~70% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32430 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32430 is the most Republican-leaning.
32430 runs about 68 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 32430 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32430, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 32430, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 11% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points below the Florida average of 31%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 32430 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 88% of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in 32430 are family households, above 82% of zip codes.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 32430, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32430 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in 32430 own their home, about 26 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 32430 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.