32424 leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 32424 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32424, ~17% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32424 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32424 leans more Republican than 1 of 4 neighbors.
32424 runs about 27 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32424. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 62 points.
Why 32424 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32424, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in 32424 hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Florida average of 31%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 32424, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 32424 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32424 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 13 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in 32424 have completed high school, below 91% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.