33054 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 44% of adults in 33054 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33054, ~31% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33054 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33054 leans more Democratic than 69 of 77 neighbors.
33054 runs about 55 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33054 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33054. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+61) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+19), a spread of about 42 points.
Why 33054 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33054, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in 33054 live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in 33054 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes. 33054 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 33054, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33054 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33054 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 14 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 50% of households in 33054 rent, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in 33054 have completed high school, below 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.