33172 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 33172 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33172, ~17% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33172 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33172 leans more Republican than 51 of 67 neighbors.
33172 runs about 16 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33172. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 33172 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33172, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33172 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 97%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33172, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 33172 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33172 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 31%, about 16 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 56% of households in 33172 rent, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in 33172 have completed high school, below 89% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.