33122 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 45% of adults in 33122 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33122, ~19% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33122 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33122 leans more Republican than 41 of 71 neighbors.
Politically, 33122 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Why 33122 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33122, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33122 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 94%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33122, FL sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33122 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33122 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 7 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 94% of households in 33122 rent, compared to around 56% in nearby zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 33122 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.