33182 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 33182 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33182, ~22% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33182 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33182 leans more Republican than 47 of 58 neighbors.
33182 runs about 24 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33182. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 31 points.
Why 33182 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33182, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33182 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 87%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in 33182 are family households, above 98% of zip codes.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33182, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33182 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33182 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 25%, about 10 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.