33316 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 71% of adults in 33316 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33316, ~33% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33316 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33316 leans more Republican than 46 of 53 neighbors.
33316 runs about 7 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33316. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 33316 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33316, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33316 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 83%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 33316, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 33316 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 33316 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.