33304 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 33304 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33304, ~35% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33304 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33304 leans more Democratic than 27 of 52 neighbors.
33304 runs about 25 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33304 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33304. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+40) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 50 points.
Why 33304 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33304, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 93% of residents in 33304 live in densely developed areas, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 33304 sits in the top quarter (about 51%, above 89% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in 33304 have never been married, above 85% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 33304, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 33304 looks the way it does
Turnout in 33304 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.