33004 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 54% of adults in 33004 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33004, ~33% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33004 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33004 leans more Democratic than 36 of 59 neighbors.
33004 runs about 35 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33004 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33004. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+75) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 75 points.
Why 33004 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33004, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 93% of residents in 33004 live in densely developed areas, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in 33004 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes. 33004 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 33004, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33004 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33004 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 65% of households in 33004 rent, compared to around 44% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.