33707 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 73% of adults in 33707 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33707, ~36% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33707 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33707 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 25 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 8 leaning the other way.
33707 runs about 13 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33707 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33707. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+32) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 42 points.
Why 33707 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33707, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33707 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33707 runs about 13 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 33707, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33707 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 33707 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, about 6 points above the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.