33716 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 33716 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33716, ~30% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33716 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33716 leans more Democratic than 50 of 59 neighbors.
33716 runs about 29 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33716 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33716. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+23) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+9), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 33716 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33716, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 46% of adults in 33716 hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in 33716 is about 61%, below 76% of zip codes. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in 33716 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 33716, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33716 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 79% of households in 33716 rent, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.