33187 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 33187 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33187, ~27% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33187 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33187 leans more Republican than 21 of 33 neighbors.
33187 runs about 12 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33187. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 53 points.
Why 33187 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33187, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33187 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 74%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in 33187 are family households, above 97% of zip codes.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33187, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33187 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in 33187 own their home, about 21 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 33187 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.