33870 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 33870 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33870, ~25% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33870 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33870 leans more Republican than 1 of 4 neighbors.
33870 runs about 16 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33870. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 20 points.
Why 33870 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 33870. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33870, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33870 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33870 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.