33876 leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 33876 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33876, ~19% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33876 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33876 leans more Republican than 5 of 6 neighbors.
33876 runs about 33 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33876. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 33876 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33876, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in 33876 drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33876, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33876 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 88% of households in 33876 own their home, about 17 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 33876 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.