33857 is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 33857 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33857, ~14% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33857 compares
33857 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
33857 runs about 47 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 33857 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33857, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 74% of households in 33857 are family households, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 33857 sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 83% of zip codes).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 33857, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33857 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 33857 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 57%, below 71% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.