33896 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 33896 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33896, ~30% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33896 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33896 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 8 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 9 leaning the other way.
33896 runs about 10 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33896. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 20 points.
Why 33896 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 33896. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33896, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33896 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33896 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 51% of households in 33896 rent, compared to around 33% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.