34140 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 34140 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34140, ~26% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34140 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34140 is the most Republican-leaning.
34140 runs about 23 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 34140 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34140, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in 34140 live in densely developed areas, about 55 points below the Florida average of 57%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34140, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 34140 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 34140 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 34140 own their home, above 86% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 34140 have completed high school, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.