34116 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 44% of adults in 34116 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34116, ~21% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34116 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34116 is the least Republican-leaning.
34116 runs about 7 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34116. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 20 points.
Why 34116 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34116, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34116 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 94%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in 34116 are family households, above 95% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 34116, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 34116 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34116 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 27%, about 12 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in 34116 rent, compared to around 23% in nearby zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in 34116 have completed high school, below 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.